Q3 2026 Convergence Report

The shock came back. The winners billed it in weeks.

The Strait of Hormuz closed again in July and US diesel set the highest weekly price in the EIA's records. In the same quarter the US rebuilt its tariff wall on new statutes after IEEPA fell. The companies that turned those costs into prices within weeks grew their margins. The ones that absorbed them reported losses.

  1. $6.53US diesel weekly average, Sept 21. Highest in the EIA series.EIA, September 2026.
  2. +89%Maersk Q2 EBIT, $1.6bn vs $845m. Guidance raised to $4.5–6.5bn.Maersk, August 2026.
  3. −10.8%C.H. Robinson average headcount, with operating income up 18.4%.C.H. Robinson, July 2026.
  4. 60Economies under new Section 301 forced-labor tariffs from July 24.USTR, July 2026.
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