Life Sciences · Archive · 3 editions

Biotech & Pharma

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Radar, quarter by quarter

ForceQ1 2026Q2 2026Q3 2026
AI555
Energy222
Quantum222
Robotics34▲ +14
Health Evo444
Q3 2026Current edition

Molecules got cheap. Proof got a passport.

In Q3 2026, designing molecules got cheap, proving them stayed slow, and the place where proof is generated became a priced variable. Insilico dosed the first Phase III patient of its AI-discovered rentosertib on September 10 at sites that are all in China, Chinese out-licensing hit a record $110 billion in the first half, and Washington answered with live Section 232 tariffs, MFN pricing deals covering about 90% of the branded market and a proposed 50% FDA fee cut for applications backed by a US-anchored Phase 1.

AI5/5
Robotics4/5
Health Evo4/5
Energy2/5
Quantum2/5
Q2 2026

The proof became infrastructure.

In Q2 2026, capital stopped speculating on AI drug discovery and started positioning: Isomorphic Labs raised $2.1 billion in the largest AI drug discovery round in history, Insilico Medicine secured a $2.5B partnership at BIO 2026, and total biopharma M&A hit $123 billion by June 22 · already surpassing all of 2025. With Section 232 tariffs arriving July 31 for large companies, organizations without documented onshoring plans now face 100% duties on patented APIs while those that moved first locked in 20% rates.

AI5/5
Robotics4/5
Health Evo4/5
Energy2/5
Quantum2/5
Q1 2026

The first proof. AI works.

In Q1 2026, an AI-designed molecule demonstrated clinical efficacy in a controlled human trial for the first time · Insilico's rentosertib posted a 98.4 mL improvement in forced vital capacity vs. a 20.3 mL decline in placebo. Simultaneously, the BIOSECURE Act restructured who can participate in US-funded research, and $84 billion in biopharma M&A confirmed the market had already priced in the value of AI-accelerated pipelines.

AI5/5
Health Evo4/5
Robotics3/5
Energy2/5
Quantum2/5